Greenlit’s Weekly Digest: Treasury Steps In, Rates Snap Back.

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2–3 minutes

We’re back with another Weekly Digest, and apparently the market decided it wasn’t going to give us a quiet week.

Before we get into rates, Treasury buybacks, fuel prices, and whatever else decided to move the market this week, we actually have some Greenlit news to share.

What’s New at Greenlit

We released a new Greenlit Update this week covering some of the work we’ve been doing behind the scenes.

The biggest change is our new Command Center, which takes the old search experience and turns it into one central place to search for properties, revisit favorites, manage active deals, and keep track of properties you already own.

We’ve also been cleaning up and improving several other parts of the platform, with more updates already in progress.

If you haven’t been on Greenlit in a little while, now might be a good time to take another look.

Explore Greenlit →

Now, let’s talk about this ridiculous week for rates.

Economic Note

Well, that didn’t last very long.

We started the week with mortgage rates sitting around 6.69%, and after everything that happened last week, we were expecting them to remain relatively flat while the market waited for next week’s PCE report.

Then Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent decided to shake things up.

The Treasury announced that it would significantly increase its buybacks of longer term government debt, a move aimed at relieving some of the pressure we’ve been seeing on long term Treasury yields.

And for about a day, it worked.

The 10 year dropped pretty aggressively following the announcement, giving us what looked like a legitimate shot at another meaningful decline in mortgage rates.

But the problem is that Treasury buybacks don’t make everything else happening in the world disappear.

Fuel prices remain elevated, inflation concerns haven’t gone anywhere, government borrowing remains enormous, and geopolitical uncertainty continues to hang over the market.

So almost as quickly as the 10 year dropped, it turned around and climbed right back up.

By the end of the week, we were essentially back where we started, with mortgage rates around 6.72% and the 10 year actually trading slightly higher than it was before the Treasury announcement.

So what did we learn?

Apparently even a surprise move from the Treasury Department can only keep this market optimistic for about 24 hours.

That brings us to next week and the PCE inflation report.

At this point, the market seems to be having a hard time holding onto any good news, which makes next week’s report even more important. If PCE comes in better than expected, we may finally get another legitimate push downward in rates.

If it disappoints?

After watching the market completely erase this week’s rally, we wouldn’t be surprised to see rates move higher again.

We’ll find out next week.

Market Reports

Greenlit Updates

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